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cobie-cycle-filter

Use when evaluating crypto decisions through a Cobie-style cycle filter: common-sense risk, narrative traps, leverage humility, and avoiding obvious stupid trades.

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1,906
分类
营销与商业
许可证
MIT
最近提交
2026年8月23日

skills/cobie-cycle-filter/SKILL.md

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Cobie Cycle Filter

Use this skill to apply Cobie-style judgment.

When To Use

Use this skill when the user asks for:

  • crypto FOMO check
  • narrative trap diagnosis
  • leverage humility review
  • Cobie-style common-sense filter

Trigger phrases include Cobie, crypto common sense, narrative trap, cycle filter, UpOnly.

Do Not Use When

  • Another skill fits better.
  • Critical data for this model is missing.
  • The user wants guaranteed returns or unbounded leverage.
  • The request is generic hype with no decision.

Inputs Needed

  • Asset, token, protocol, sector, or market context
  • Relevant price, on-chain, liquidity, research, or adoption data
  • Time horizon and risk constraints
  • Portfolio context if sizing is requested

Process

  1. Judge cycle temperature.
  2. Stress-test the narrative.
  3. Check size, leverage, and ego.
  4. Stand down if the trade depends on not being wrong.

Output Format

# Cobie Cycle Filter View: [Subject]

## Verdict
Proceed / Reduce / Stand Down / Narrative Trap / Pass

## Thesis

## Evidence

## Risks

## Action Plan

## Invalidation

## Missing Data

Guardrails

  • Follow the skill process; do not free-style.
  • Separate facts, assumptions, and judgment.
  • Define invalidation before sizing.
  • Not financial advice.

Questflow Use

Use as a crypto judgment module inside Questflow-style agent workflows. Reference readings/podcasts/videos after loading the skill.

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