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dalio-principles-allweather

Use when evaluating portfolios through Ray Dalio-style economic machine, debt cycles, diversification, risk parity, and all-weather asset allocation.

Star
1,906
分类
营销与商业
许可证
MIT
最近提交
2026年8月23日

skills/dalio-principles-allweather/SKILL.md

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Dalio Principles All-Weather

Use this skill to apply Ray Dalio-style judgment.

When To Use

Use this skill when the user asks for:

  • all-weather portfolio design
  • macro regime allocation
  • risk parity review
  • debt-cycle positioning

Trigger phrases include Dalio, All Weather, risk parity, economic machine, debt cycle, diversify.

Do Not Use When

  • The setup is outside this model's universe and another investor skill fits better.
  • Critical data is missing and the model requires it.
  • The user wants guaranteed returns or unbounded leverage.
  • The request is only generic market chatter with no decision.

Inputs Needed

  • Asset, portfolio, theme, or market context
  • Relevant financial, market, regime, or structural data
  • Time horizon and risk constraints
  • Current price/valuation or portfolio weights if sizing is requested

Process

  1. Map growth and inflation regime.
  2. Identify debt-cycle stage and policy constraints.
  3. Allocate by risk contribution across equities, bonds, commodities, gold, cash.
  4. Rebalance when regime or risk contributions drift.

Output Format

# Dalio Principles All-Weather View: [Subject]

## Verdict
Overweight / Underweight / Hedge / Neutral / Rebalance

## Setup / Thesis

## Evidence

## Risks

## Action Plan

## Invalidation

## Missing Data

Guardrails

  • Do not force a trade when filters fail.
  • Do not ignore risk, liquidity, or regime constraints.
  • Do not mix this model with another unless comparison is requested.
  • Separate facts, assumptions, and judgment.

Questflow Use

In Questflow, this skill is best used as a judgment module for Funds, research workflows, monitoring, and risk-aware decision support.

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