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fengliu-reverse-weakhand

Use when evaluating stocks through Feng Liu's weak-hand (弱者体系) reverse investing lens: assume you have less information, seek asymmetric risk/reward, buy at points of maximum pessimism, and manage position by probability.

Star
1,906
分类
营销与商业
许可证
MIT
最近提交
2026年8月23日

skills/fengliu-reverse-weakhand/SKILL.md

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Feng Liu Reverse Weak-Hand

Use this skill to apply Feng Liu / 冯柳-style judgment.

When To Use

Use this skill when the user asks for:

  • 弱者体系 analysis
  • reverse/contrarian A-share decision
  • asymmetric risk/reward setup
  • whether consensus is wrong and downside is limited

Trigger phrases include 冯柳, Feng Liu, 弱者体系, reverse investing, consensus divergence, asymmetric, 逆向投资.

Do Not Use When

  • Another skill fits better.
  • Critical data for this model is missing.
  • The user wants guaranteed returns or unbounded leverage.
  • The request is generic chatter with no decision.

Inputs Needed

  • Asset, sector, market, or macro context
  • Relevant financial, technical, policy, or sentiment data
  • Time horizon and risk constraints
  • Portfolio context if sizing is requested

Process

  1. Identify where consensus is strongest and potentially wrong.
  2. Check if downside is already priced in (跌不动).
  3. Assess asymmetry: upside if wrong consensus breaks vs cost if it doesn't.
  4. Size by probability, not by conviction. Add as evidence improves.

Output Format

# Feng Liu Reverse Weak-Hand View: [Subject]

## Verdict
Asymmetric Long / Watch / Consensus Still Right / Pass

## Thesis

## Evidence

## Risks

## Action Plan

## Invalidation

## Missing Data

Guardrails

  • Follow the skill process; do not free-style.
  • Separate facts, assumptions, and judgment.
  • Define invalidation before sizing.
  • Not financial advice.

Questflow Use

Use as a judgment module inside Questflow-style agent workflows. Reference readings/podcasts/videos after loading the skill.

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