analyze-experiment-results

analyze-experiment-results

Purpose

Interpret completed experimental outputs after host/runtime execution using pre-declared statistical tests, effect/uncertainty estimates, reproducibility checks, and calibrated synthesis.

Input contract

required: [experiment_results, predeclared_analysis_plan, reproducibility_target]
optional: [assumptions, prior_findings, evidence_updates]
constraints: [consume named scientific objects; preserve provenance; keep unresolved uncertainty visible]

Execution protocol

Do not perform called SOP operations inline; each loaded SOP owns its contract and thresholds.

1. You MUST load skill statistical-testing to run the preregistered statistical tests and retain effect uncertainty.
2. You MUST load skill verify-reproducibility to verify the declared reproduction level. If the results must be assembled into claims, evidence, and counterclaims, consider construct-argument-map. If several interventions or methods require comparative selection, consider rank-candidates.

Deviation: reorder only when a dependency is already satisfied or unavailable; record the reason and confidence effect.

Output contract

produces: [effect_estimates, uncertainty_summary, reproducibility_assessment, interpretation]
delta_fields: [uncertainties]

Thresholds and quality gates

• Each output is traceable to an input object, operation, and evidence reference.
• Scope, assumptions, and unresolved alternatives remain explicit.
• Retain $\alpha$ 0.05 and power 0.8 wherever the predeclared statistical design requires them.

Failure and counterexamples

Stop synthesis when a required object is absent, a precondition is violated, or a counterexample invalidates the proposed conclusion; return the partial delta with the failure recorded.

Provenance map

• intermediate: experiment-execution/result-analysis [strategy]
• resolved: result-validation-loop
• resolved: statistical-testing
• resolved: reproducibility-verification
• resolved: execution-synthesis
• resolved: result-collection

Preserved source criteria ledger

source	criterion	treatment
resolved v3 entries above	node-specific criteria	retained and specialized to the v4 object contract
experiment-execution/statistical-testing	$\alpha$ = 0.05	fixed value retained where applicable
experiment-execution/sample-size-estimation	power = 0.8	fixed value retained where applicable

Context checkpoint / Delta notes

Return the node-specific research-state delta and preserve findings, evidence updates, uncertainties, decisions, open questions, and recommended jumps as applicable.