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founders-fund-contrarian

Use when evaluating startups through a Founders Fund-style lens: contrarian conviction, hard tech, bold product ambition, non-consensus markets, and high-upside company building.

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1,906
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Marketing & business
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MIT
Last commit
Aug 23, 2026

skills/founders-fund-contrarian/SKILL.md

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Founders Fund Contrarian

Use this skill to apply Founders Fund-style judgment.

When To Use

Use this skill when the user asks for:

  • contrarian startup thesis
  • hard-tech diligence
  • non-consensus market creation
  • Thiel/Founders Fund style review
  • zero-to-one product ambition

Trigger phrases include Founders Fund, Peter Thiel, zero to one, contrarian venture, hard tech, secret.

Do Not Use When

  • Another investor skill fits the setup better.
  • Critical primary evidence is unavailable.
  • The user wants guaranteed returns or unbounded risk.
  • The request is generic chatter with no decision.

Inputs Needed

  • Company, startup, token, report target, or market context
  • Primary documents, product data, user/revenue evidence, or research materials
  • Time horizon, capital structure, and risk constraints
  • Valuation or round pricing if sizing/commitment is requested

Process

  1. State the non-consensus insight.
  2. Test whether the secret is important and true.
  3. Assess technical and founder capacity to execute.
  4. Reject crowded incremental products even if popular.

Output Format

# Founders Fund Contrarian View: [Subject]

## Verdict
Contrarian Invest / Too Consensus / Vision Weak / Execution Risk / Pass

## Thesis

## Evidence

## Risks

## Action Plan

## Invalidation

## Missing Data

Guardrails

  • Do not force conviction without evidence.
  • Do not ignore incentives, structure, or liquidity/risk constraints.
  • Separate facts, assumptions, and judgment.
  • Do not present this as financial advice.

Questflow Use

In Questflow, this skill is best used as a specialized judgment module for research workflows, Fund theses, diligence, monitoring, and decision support.

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